![]() It has come close to being shut down at least three times. Scenario planning has now been in use at Shell for more than 45 years, spanning times of great triumph and prominence-especially in the 1970s-but also long stretches during which company leaders struggled to see its value. As unthreatening stories, scenarios enable Shell executives to open their minds to previously inconceivable or imperceptible developments. It has helped break the habit, ingrained in most corporate planning, of assuming that the future will look much like the present. Its value lies in how scenarios are embedded in-and provide vital links between-organizational processes such as strategy making, innovation, risk management, public affairs, and leadership development. (Wack described the development of some of the early scenarios in his article “Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead,” HBR September–October 1985.) But Shell-style scenario planning has never really been about predicting the future. ![]() Together with Newland he came to define the practice of scenario planning at Shell each man headed the team at some point during an eventful decade of oil crises and economic turmoil that they and their colleagues had to some extent envisioned ahead of time. Wack, a former magazine editor with a bent for Eastern philosophy and mysticism, focused on telling plausible stories about how the wider business context of Shell might develop. Around this time Davidson brought in Pierre Wack, who had been the head of planning for Shell Française, to try to secure the attention and interest of Shell’s most senior executives. The very first oil-price scenarios prepared by this duo were sent to senior executives by mid-1971. Then, together with his new colleague Henk Alkema, he began to develop long-term outlooks in the form of alternative futures. Newland started by delivering a “Year 2000” study report. Under the leadership of Newland and Davidson, who became Shell’s first overall head of planning in 1967, the “futures” operation began to take shape. His appointment marked the start of a remarkable and still ongoing experiment in using scenario planning to engage with an uncertain future. “I was placed in a little cubicle on the 18th floor and told to think about the future, with no real indications of what was required of me,” Newland recalls. Jimmy Davidson, the head of economics and planning for Shell’s exploration and production division, tapped the company veteran Ted Newland to start an activity called Long-Term Studies at the London headquarters. Things have gone much better for another Shell initiative that was begun in 1965, albeit with far less fanfare. ![]() But before long, Shell’s top executives realized that many of the commitments they had to make extended well beyond UPM’s six-year time horizon-and that even within that horizon, UPM tended to get a lot wrong. This kind of rational, model-based financial forecasting was very much in vogue in the 1960s. In 1965 Royal Dutch Shell put into service what it called the Unified Planning Machinery (UPM), a computer-driven system meant to bring more discipline to the company’s cash flow planning. Otherwise, there’s always the danger that quantitative models will hide assumptions and constrain thinking rather than refine it.īecause scenarios follow a rhythm distinct from the annual strategy cycle, they allow an organization to see realities that would otherwise be overlooked. And they need some quantification to be credible-but the numbers must flow from the stories, rather than the other way around. They must also be relevant, not simply disruptive and challenging. They create a safe space for dialogue and for acknowledging uncertainty. ![]() ![]() They must above all be plausible, with a logical story line, in order to encourage intuition and judgment. They identify several principles that both define the process at Shell and help explain how it has survived and thrived for so long.įor instance, Shell scenarios are stories, not predictions, and are designed to help break the habit, ingrained in most corporate planning, of assuming that the future will look much like the present. The authors interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with top Shell executives through the years. Shell’s practice has now survived for almost half a century and has had a huge influence on how businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In 1965, a time when quantitative, computer-driven planning was very much in vogue, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a different way of looking into the future: scenario planning. ![]()
0 Comments
![]() Dolly! All Access will bring together her brand partners together for a custom, curated shopping experience. I hope it is something that will touch you and maybe touch enough people to want to make a change for the better.”Ĭoming up this week, Parton joins Garth Brooks as they host the 58th Academy of Country Music Awards streaming around the world LIVE on Prime Video May 11 at 7:00P CT from The Ford Center in Frisco, TX.ĭolly Parton merchandise will also be available during ACM Awards Week on Tuesday, May 9 thru Sunday, May 14 at The Star in Frisco, Texas as well as Wednesday, May 10 via a merchandise trailer on The Star complex and on Thursday, May 11 inside The Ford Center during the 58th Academy of Country Music Awards. I think it speaks about everything and to everyone this day and time. “This is a song I felt very inspired to write. ![]() The lead track off ROCKSTAR is the timely original “ World on Fire,” and is available this Thursday, May 11, to coincide with the world premiere performance of the song at the ACM Awards. Ronnie Van Zant with special guests Gary Rossington, Artimus Pyle and The Artimus Pyle Band)” Paul McCartney & Ringo Starr with special guests Peter Frampton & Mick Fleetwood)”ģ0. Ronnie McDowell with special guest The Jordanaires)”Ģ9. Rob Halford with special guests Nikki Sixx & John 5)”Ģ3. ![]() Stevie Nicks & special guest Waddy Wachtel)”ġ1. “ What Has Rock And Roll Ever Done For You (feat. Steven Tyler & special guest Warren Haynes)”ĩ. MT-300 Automatic Horizontal 10ml Vial Blood Tube Labeller Small Glass Round Bottle Labelling Machine Customer Reviews You may also like Quick links About Us. Ann Wilson with special guest Howard Lee)”Ħ. “ Rockstar (with special guest Richie Sambora)”ģ. I hope everybody enjoys the album as much as I’ve enjoyed putting it together!”ġ. “I’m so excited to finally present my first Rock and Roll album Rockstar! I am very honored and privileged to have worked with some of the greatest iconic singers and musicians of all time and to be able to sing all the iconic songs throughout the album was a joy beyond measure. ROCKSTAR is set for global release on November 17 via Butterfly Records with distribution by Big Machine Label Group and will be available as a 4 LP set (see HERE for an overview of available versions), a 2 CD set, digital download and on all streaming services. The ever-evolving Parton teamed up with an all-star roster of musicians for the 30-song collection which includes 9 original tracks and 21 iconic Rock anthems. NASHVILLE, TN (May 9, 2023) – Global superstar and recent Rock n’ Roll Hall of Fame inductee, DOLLY PARTON, has joined forces with some of Rock music’s most legendary artists along with today’s biggest stars for her first-ever Rock album, ROCKSTAR. Parton & Garth Brooks Set to Co-Host the 58 th Academy of Country Music Awards Live from Frisco, TX on May 11 Tube Labels McMaster-Carr Choose from our selection of tube labels, including adhesive-back pipe markers, made-to-order Snap-On pipe markers, and more. Vinyl & CD Pre-Order of ROCKSTAR Available Now HPLC automation fractions test tube labeler.L ead Original Track Off ROCKSTAR “World on Fire” Available May 11 The resulting instrument reduces hands-on time for labeling fractions by approximately 60%. Particular challenges existed with accurately positioning tubes in Agilent G1364-84544 trays onto the deck of the instrument. Pre-Label detection Detects the edge of the pre-label. A compact all-in-one Laboratory tube labeling system with a Tray stack unit as standard. The tray takeoff - return position located in front contributes ease-of-use. Custom hardware and software have been implemented to inform and to enable the Pick-n-Place arm of a commercially available Tecan EVO robotic system to pick up and present select tubes, filled with purified chromatography fractions from a multitude of vendor trays, to a custom label application station integrated with a commercially available Zebra label printer. olpaso1 supports 8 different types of tubes can be loaded at a time and can stock more than 800 tubes in total. Therefore, the development of an automated tube labeler that can accommodate a multitude of test tube and tray sizes can reduce the chances of error as well as reduce the hands-on labor required to complete this tedious but essential task. The diversity of test tube sizes and tray configurations from different chromatography system vendors complicates this labeling task. ![]() Because the next step after purification entails the removal of the solvent in a centrifugal evaporator with multiple sample positions per rotor, select test tubes must be labeled prior to dry-down to track the identity of each compound. ![]() Centralized high-throughput purification laboratories routinely produce large numbers of test tubes with fractions containing the purified compounds of interest interspersed with test tubes containing fractions collected from undesired peaks. ![]() ![]() ![]() Welcome to HyperRESEARCH HyperRESEARCH is a software program for Windows and Mac OS X that helps you perform qualitative data analysis. How to Report Information Technology Concerns.Peer to Peer File Sharing and Copyright Law.Host Accounts for Departments and Student Organizations.Eligibility Guidelines for UVM Academic Host Accounts.Dynamic Host Configuration Protocol (DHCP) Policy.You can use HyperRESEARCH to examine and organize textual, audio, video, and image data.
![]() ![]() However, on the other side, you devour ammunition when doing continuous fire, getting from 90 shells to 60 in a matter of seconds. From one side you have a tremendous stopping power which can deal with all threats in seconds, including ground. The version mounted on the OTOMATIC is set to super-rapid fire, speeding the rate of fire from 60 RPM to 120 RPM. Different from other cannons, the 76 mm is the biggest anti-air calibre yet the smallest calibre for modern vehicles. This particular gun, if already used in vessels, has one of the best trade-off in accuracy, stopping power and range. ![]() This specific configuration is the Compact version, meaning the carousel is smaller for size reduction but with an increase in rate of fire. The OTOMATIC is armed with the most famous naval autocannon, the OTO Breda Cannone da 76/62. Main article: OTO Breda Cannone da 76/62 (76 mm) When APFSDS are available, the OTOMATIC may defend capture points against enemy tanks as well, while still dealing with aircraft, or it can switch to a more mobile, MBT-like playstyle, mostly thanks to the excellent penetration of the sabot rounds and the two-axis stabiliser. Shooting down aircraft should be the primary use of this vehicle at least until APFSDS rounds are unlocked, so staying in a cap zone is recommended, as the unit doesn't carry a lot of ammo (90 shells for a cannon with a 0.5s reload). The OTOMATIC is a radar-equipped SPAAG that is capable of shooting proximity fused frag rounds and can destroy planes even in a single, well-aimed shot. It was introduced in Update 1.85 "Supersonic". The OTO Main Anti-aircraft Tank for Intercept and Combat (shortened to OTOMATIC) is a rank VII Italian self-propelled anti-aircraft gun 4.2.1 Fighting Specific Tanks with SAPOM. ![]() ![]() ![]() Though officials said the worst of the fire had been extinguished, explosions continued to be heard and thick smoke and small flames could be seen from the vessel over the weekend, which is anchored nine miles off the capital, Colombo. It also had more than 300 tonnes of fuel in its tanks. The ship was carrying 25 tonnes of nitric acid, sodium hydroxide and other dangerous chemicals as well as 28 containers of raw materials used to make plastic bags. ![]() The Black Sea itself is already highly fragile from decades of heavy industrial and agricultural activity in the north, overfishing in the south and a makeup that leaves little oxygen in its waters and high levels of poisonous hydrogen sulfide.The 25-person crew was evacuated but the firefighting operation has been complicated by monsoon winds and the highly flammable and poisonous cargo. Ukrainian scientists are still assessing the level of ecological damage caused by the war. Researchers and organizations from 75 countries signed an open letter in March on the environmental harm of the war, including potential nuclear disaster. Several scientific groups have raised the alarm over growing pollution in the Black Sea caused by sabotaged infrastructure, oil spills from sunken warships and chemical runoff from ammunition. He said that these cases suggest acoustic trauma. While Crimea is inaccessible to Ukrainian conservationists, people have reported mass strandings of common dolphins there too, according to Goldin. In some cases, live dolphins that approached the shore were also visibly weak or dehydrated and showed no sign of infection or entanglement. Bottlenose dolphins are usually too big and nimble to be caught, but Green Balkans said eight were found dead last month off the coast of Bulgaria. Also, 52 harbor porpoises were found tangled in fishing nets in April, compared to 10 that were found last year. Green Balkans, a Bulgarian rehabilitation center, reported that a lone common dolphin was found in a harbor in April, whereas common dolphins rarely break from their schools and usually stay in the open sea far from the coast. These dolphins would be even more vulnerable to naval radars than they were in 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea, with Russian warships in Sevastopol now more numerous and running for longer periods of time.ĭolphins have also been found stranded en masse in Bulgaria and Crimea, showing behavior atypical of their species. “It is hard to say if they can be protective at all, because dolphins look more like victims, like targets in this war,” Goldin said. ![]() Konstantin Mihalchevskiy / Sputnik via AP Ukrainian media reported in 2018 that most of the combat dolphins that Russia had seized at the Crimean base had died, likely of starvation.Ī Russian soldier plays with a bottlenose dolphin at the dolphinarium in Kherson, Ukraine, on May 4. ![]() Satellite images published last month suggest that Russia may be using bottlenose dolphins to guard its Sevastopol base, but the claims were never confirmed. Still, these deaths and other war-related pollution could create a “crisis in biodiversity,” according to the Turkish Marine Research Foundation. Some might also swim into naval mines, triggering their explosion, or could be killed by live fire.Ī full investigation into the causes and scope of the recent dolphin deaths could take months or years, with much of the coastline inaccessible to researchers because of the war. They can also get confused and panic, accidentally swimming into rocks or onto shore. Unable to navigate, the dolphins cannot identify prey and can therefore starve. The low-frequency sonar of warships and submarines directly interferes with dolphins’ echolocation, said Pavel Goldin, a marine biologist specializing in dolphins at the Schmalhausen Institute of Zoology in Ukraine. ![]() ![]() ![]() Oh, you might have to adjust your monitor too. Now you can create a shortcut to Winmain.exe and you're ready to play! ![]() Choose to run in Windows XP mode then check every setting underneath apart from the DPI box. Now right-click the Winmain.exe and go to the Compatibility tab. The easiest way to find the text you need is open up the folder, click in the folder's address bar and copy what's there. Edit the line.Īnd change it to wherever you saved your folder. Open up Hospital.cfg in Notepad - easy way to do this is run Notepad then drag the file into it. Get a copy of the game and copy the whole "Hosp" folder to somewhere on your drive. Or, if you want to avoid the hassle of installing more software just to get Theme Hospital running in Windows 7 (or perhaps Vista too), here's how to get it up and running on today's PCs. There have also been people who have suggested installing the legit Windows XP Virtual Machine provided by Microsoft. That said, there are ways you can get the game running if you look around such as using the legit DOSBox emulator. I tried getting the Playstation version via PSN but it's very poor, lacking music and has poor controls.Įventually I decided to try and get the more superior PC version but the catch was, it's so old Windows Vista and later isn't supported. However, it doesn't look like it's getting a remake any time soon even though Theme Park got one on the DS. Some hospital, eh? The game still plays (and looks) amazingly well for its age. Then there's the receptionist announcing the odd lines over the intercom in a sarcastic voice like, "Patients are asked to be patient," "Patients are here at their own risk," or even "Patients are reminded not to die in the corridors" every so often. It really is a brilliant game despite being over 10 years old and I highly recommend you try it if you haven't already! You run a hospital trying to cure humorous fictional diseases like "Bloaty Head" by popping them like balloons, "Slack Tongue" or "Invisibility". Keep up the great work, guys! =)īeen feeling like playing Bullfrog's classic " Theme Hospital". Would be nice to have the cutscenes ported over too such as the board and opening animation but, oh well. Now install Corsix-TH and let it know where you copied the folder. Install your copy of Theme Hospital or simply copy the whole "HOSP" folder from the CD. No more funny colours and blurry graphics to look at! It is still in its early development stages so you'll spot the odd bug but from what I've tried so far, it is easier and a lot more stable than using these tweaks and supports today's modern screen sizes. To save you the hassle of going through all these technical tweaks, try Corsix-TH instead. Might want to give it a go before playing the classic again! From some of the staff that worked on the original Theme Hospital, the game brings back most of the gameplay, humour but also some new changes that add new challenges. The spiritual successor " Two Point Hospital" is now out. ![]() ![]() ![]() Some auto enthusiasts recommend keeping your freshly painted car in the garage for at least a month, but at the same time, you need to be realistic. No one likes seeing an orange peel texture, cracking or peeling, but exposing your vehicle to the environment right after a fresh paint job can do just that. ![]() How long after painting a car can you drive it?Ī few weeks after painting your car. If you still have questions, visit the E astwood Garage or call seven days a week to speak with an expert.Īutomotive Paint Frequently Asked Questions Read our car painting FAQs below to get started. Those are working with older sheet metal will certainly want our rust solutions that make parts paintable again.Įastwood backs up this incredible inventory with unmatched product knowledge and service. Remember to pick up safety equipment that protects your clothes, skin and lungs as you work. If even a beginner painting gun seems daunting to you, consider 2K AeroSpray™ car spray paint that rivals HVLP quality. Shop at Eastwood for auto paint gear such as HVLP guns, mixing equipment, masking supplies and paint booths. The world's best paint doesn't do much good unless you're able to apply it properly. Remember to lay down a good car primer before you start so the paint has a good foundation. Detailing under the hood? We have paints that duplicate various metal finishes, plus high temp coatings that replicate OEM colors and sheens. If you want some extra shine, consider pearls, metallic flakes or the Eastwood Candeez line. ![]() Add high-quality clear coats to protect the main finish and make it stand out. These base coats include both OEM-style paints and custom colors for any sort of project. Our huge selection starts with an assortment of automotive finishes. From basic car touch-up paint to refinishing a car from the bare metal, Eastwood helps DIYers Do the Job Right. We are the leading auto paint shop whether you shop online or visit a brick-and-mortar store. Eastwood has everything you need to paint your car and achieve professional results. ![]() ![]() Traditional (5.5% ABV) – Flawlessly natural and effortlessly smooth, the traditional flavor is the perfect introduction to the legendary, traditional Finnish long drink.Providing a subtle and natural, yet refreshing kick, the drink is ideal for enjoying life at the golf course, picnicking in the sun, or around a card table with good company. These partnerships will allow us to grow long lasting relationships with their existing connections to ensure customers across both states will be able to find Long Drink in their favorite bars, restaurants and retailers,” says Evan Burns, CEO and Co-Founder of The Finnish Long Drink. “We continue to partner with SGWS and Alliance Beverage Distributing because of their extensive expertise across Midwest markets, including Indiana and Western Michigan. In expanding its partnership with both SGWS and Alliance Beverage Distributing, Long Drink is significantly growing the brand’s national footprint in the Midwest. The expansion announcement comes on the heels of the brand’s successful debut across California, Arizona, Florida, South Carolina, Massachusetts, and Illinois earlier this year. – Long Drink, the brand built on the heritage of the legendary Finnish alcohol category of long drinks, best described as citrus soda with real liquor, announced that it has expanded its distribution agreement with Southern Glazer’s Wine & Spirits (SGWS) and Alliance Beverage Distributing into Indiana and Western Michigan, respectively. ![]() ![]() ![]() Then your traffic camera will be listed in CameraFTP's Public Cameras page.
![]() ![]() ![]() What file format does QuickTime support?ġ3. Why is it the files in the “Inbox” folder cannot be renamed?īecause the “Inbox” folder belong to the system, you can move the files out and rename them.ġ2. For windows, you can use win7, TVMOBILI, TwonkyMediaServer, FreeMi…ġ1. You can download MediaShare from Mac app store.The MediaShare is developed by us. Why the video/audio files downloaded from Media Server can not be play?īecause some media servers do not give out the suffix,you should rename it,add suffix such as “.RMVB” or “.MP3”. Just rename it,add suffix such as “.RMVB” or “.MP3”.ĩ. Maybe you should use “skip frame” in the settings. It does not sync when play high resolution RMVB or MKV file,how to do? Maybe you should not use cache in the settings, but normally you should use cache.ħ. Why does it shake when play some low resolution mp4 or avi video? If it still does not work,maybe the files are destroyed when you use WiFi transfer, delete it, add files from iTunes with USB.Ħ. Set “Start Playback from the beginning” in the settings. Turn to the documents, click the “edit” button, select the Audio/Video files you want to add, click the “playlist” button to select the playlist. In editing mode, they represent “Playlist”, “new folder”, “rename”, “cut”, “paste”, “delete”, “return”.Ĭlick “edit” button,select files, click “cut” button,click “return” button,enter the new folder,click “edit” button,click “paste” button. In normal mode, they represent “return”, “home”, “sort”, “edit”. In documents, what do the buttons represent on the toolbar? In iTunes, Devices->(Your iPhone)->Apps, drag the slider down, select AVPlayer in the File Sharing and use “add.” button on the lower right corner to add files.Ģ. Gesture control: Double click to enter/exit full screen, single click to hide/show buttons,left slide to seek backward, right slide to seek How to add video with USB?Ĭonnect PC with USB,run iTunes 9.1 or above. You can set a password for your folders, just click the button on the right.Ģ1. You can download files from FTP/Samba/UPnP Servers, and resume or pause downloads.ġ2.Multi playlist supported: you can create playlists and media file to playlist, and every folder is automatically made as a playlist.ġ3.”Open In” feature supported: open video and audio files from Mail email attachments and Safari Web browser.ġ5.iPad 2 dual core decoding supported.For iPad 2,the dual-core A5 chip can be used to decode at the same time.ġ7.AirPlay supported(Note: only for QuickTime plugin).ġ8.Built-in photo viewer supports jpeg, jpg, png, bmp…ġ9.It can play music in the background mode, so that build your playlist allowing you to use it as a music player.Ģ0. You can also stream/download media files from most of all UPnP/DLNA media servers to your ios devices.ġ.Supports almost any video formats: WMV, AVI, MKV, RMVB, RM, XVID, MP4, 3GP, MPG…Ģ.Supports almost any audio formats: APE, FLAC, MP3, WMA, RM, ACC, OGG,FLV…ģ.Supports smi, srt, ass, ssa, sub txt subtitle.ĥ.Easily Wi-Fi transfer to download media files from PC to your ios devices.Ħ.Built-in Open Url Client to support HTTP, FTP, MMS, RTSP, SMB, RTP streaming.ħ.Built-in UPnP Client to stream/download media files from most of all UPnP/DLNA media servers.Ĩ.Built-in FTP Client to stream/download media files from FTP Servers(Note: stream only for PASV mode).ĩ.Built-in Samba Client to stream/download media files from Samba Servers.ġ0.Built-in file manager supported: move files from folder to folder,file delete,file rename,folder creation,folder delete.ġ1.Built-in file downloader. With built-in downloader and FTP/Samba client, it is not just a local movie player,it is a “Movie Player & Streaming Media Player”. Just transfer the media files to your ios devices using iTunes File Shareing or over Wi-Fi,then it can be played at once. AVPlayer can play almost any file format movies and stream directly on iPhone/iPod/iPad. ![]() |
Details
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |